Pacific Storms Set to Bring Heavy Rain, Strong Winds to Southern Oregon

MEDFORD, Ore. (Nov. 11, 2026) — After several days of unusually warm and mostly dry weather, a series of Pacific storm systems is expected to bring widespread rain, gusty winds and hazardous conditions to Southern Oregon beginning Friday, according to the National Weather Service in Medford.

The first and strongest storm system is expected to arrive late Thursday night into Friday, marking what forecasters describe as the region’s first significant rainfall event of the season.

While coastal communities are expected to experience the strongest impacts, inland areas, including the Rogue Valley, could see periods of moderate rain, gusty winds and deteriorating travel conditions.

The National Weather Service said the active weather pattern could continue through the weekend and into early next week, with multiple storm systems moving through the region.

Rain and Wind Expected Friday

The first storm system is expected to move into Southern Oregon early Friday, bringing widespread precipitation and strong southerly winds.

For the Rogue Valley, including Medford, current forecasts call for approximately one-half inch of rainfall. Other areas west of the Cascades could receive between three-quarters of an inch and 1 inch, while coastal communities could see 1 to 3 inches within a 24-hour period.

Areas east of the Cascades are forecast to receive approximately one-quarter to four-tenths of an inch.

Strong winds are expected to accompany the system, particularly along the coast, in the Shasta Valley and across portions of the East Side.

The National Weather Service has warned that wind gusts could reach 45 to 55 mph in some inland areas, with stronger gusts possible in exposed locations. Along the coast, the strongest winds are expected Friday morning, with the potential for downed trees, power outages and difficult driving conditions.

In the Rogue Valley, southerly winds could also become gusty, particularly in the southern portion of the valley.

Additional Storms Expected Through the Weekend

The initial storm will not be the only system affecting the region.

Another, somewhat weaker storm system is expected to move through Southern Oregon late Saturday into Sunday, bringing another round of rain and gusty winds.

Snow levels are expected to lower with this second system, potentially reaching approximately 4,500 to 5,000 feet. A few inches of snow could accumulate near Crater Lake, while higher-elevation roadways could experience occasional slippery conditions.

Forecasters say additional unsettled weather could continue into next week, with another storm system possible around the middle of the week.

Dangerous Conditions Expected Along the Oregon Coast

Some of the most significant impacts are expected along the Southern Oregon coast, where a powerful Pacific swell will accompany the approaching storm systems.

The National Weather Service is forecasting waves in the coastal waters reaching approximately 25 to 30 feet, with breaking surf potentially reaching 33 to 38 feet.

The largest waves are expected late Friday night into Saturday morning.

Forecasters warn that beaches could become completely inundated, with potential dune overwash and erosion. Another significant swell is expected behind the second storm system, potentially maintaining dangerous surf conditions into Monday.

A High Surf Warning has been issued for portions of the Oregon coast from 10 a.m. Friday through 10 p.m. Saturday.

Beachgoers are urged to remain well away from the water and avoid exposed beaches, jetties and rocky coastal areas. Sneaker waves and unexpectedly large surf can create life-threatening conditions even when the ocean appears relatively calm.

Flooding Concerns and Travel Conditions

Despite the expected rainfall, widespread flooding is not currently anticipated.

The National Weather Service said the lack of an established mountain snowpack and available reservoir storage should help limit broader flooding concerns.

However, localized problems remain possible, particularly in urban areas with poor drainage, along small streams and in locations where storm drains are blocked.

Ponding water could create hazardous driving conditions, especially during periods of heavier rainfall Friday and Sunday.

Motorists should allow additional travel time, reduce speeds on wet roads and remain alert for standing water, fallen branches and other debris.

Warmer Weather Before the Storms

Before the storm system arrives, Southern Oregon is expected to experience another relatively mild day Thursday.

Medford could reach the mid-60s, with mostly cloudy skies and generally dry conditions before precipitation chances increase Thursday night and into Friday.

Temperatures are expected to cool through the weekend, with daytime highs generally falling into the lower to middle 50s in Medford.

The National Weather Service recommends residents continue monitoring updated forecasts, watches and warnings as the storm systems approach.

Although the most significant wind and coastal hazards are expected Friday, unsettled weather could affect travel and outdoor activities across Southern Oregon throughout the weekend.

---